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	<title>Bob Deschner's Blog</title>
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	<description>Real Estate and Money Matters</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 05 Nov 2007 10:02:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>20071105 Economy Supermodel Bundchen Joins Hedge Funds Dumping Dollars</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=12</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Nov 2007 09:56:31 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I have been busy the last few weeks but I could not resist commenting on this headline.  Sorry (guys), the picture of Gisele did not copy.
20071105 Economy Supermodel Bundchen Joins Hedge Funds Dumping Dollars   OK, when the super models are demanding payment in any currency other than the US dollar, something is up. 
The US dollar [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have been busy the last few weeks but I could not resist commenting on this headline.  Sorry (guys), the picture of Gisele did not copy.</p>
<p><span class="newsstorytitle"><font face="Times New Roman"><span class="newsstorytitle"><span class="newsstorytitle"><span class="newsstorytitle">20071105 Economy Supermodel Bundchen Joins Hedge Funds Dumping Dollars  <o:p></o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p> </o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle">OK, when the super models are demanding payment in any currency other than the US dollar, something is up.<o:p></o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">The US dollar is going down relative to other world currencies.<span>  </span>So, that is bad, Right?</span></p>
<p><span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p></o:p></span> <span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p> </o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle">Bad:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<ol type="1" style="margin-top: 0in">
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">Costs of imported commodities are going up—think oil and other raw materials.<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><span class="newsstorytitle">US</span></st1:place></st1:country-region><span class="newsstorytitle"> consumers will not be able to buy dirt cheap imports for a while.<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle0">Imported electronics are going to cost more—or the earnings (stocks) of the foreign manufacturers will take a hit as they compete against <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region> produced products.<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; line-height: 15.6pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><span class="newsstorytitle0">US</span></st1:place></st1:country-region><span><span class="newsstorytitle0"> real estate and assets (stocks, etc.) will be cheap for foreign investors to buy—if they want to take the currency exchange hit.<o:p></o:p></span>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle"></span>Inflation is on the horizon.<o:p></o:p></li>
<p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">A worldwide recession is on the horizon. <o:p></o:p></span></li>
</ol>
<p></span></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p> </o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle">Good:<span>  </span>Immediate<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<ol type="1" style="margin-top: 0in">
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">US goods from US manufacturers will be more competitive in the world and US markets. (Yea, more <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region></st1:place> jobs!)<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><span class="newsstorytitle">US</span></st1:place></st1:country-region><span class="newsstorytitle"> debt will become cheaper to pay back. (Can you say, “subsidize the war?”)<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">The rest of the world will have a harder time selling their goods to the largest consumer market in the world (the US consumer market) because of prices—the probability of a world wide recession is looking good while the US market and US stocks are looking better due to manufacturing and export market profits.)<o:p></o:p></span></li>
</ol>
<p><span class="newsstorytitle"><o:p> </o:p></span><span class="newsstorytitle">Good:<span>  </span>Potential<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<ol type="1" style="margin-top: 0in">
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">As the worldwide economic boom slows down, so will consumption of commodities and therefore commodity prices will drop.<span>  </span>(Can we say lower oil prices?)<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">Inflation is on the horizon.<span>  </span>(Nothing like a little inflation to boost the economy out of the real estate crash.)<o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal"><span class="newsstorytitle">US Jobs will pay more and unemployment will go down (if possible).<span>  </span>(Yea, more <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region></st1:place> jobs!—but I repeat myself.)<span>  </span><o:p></o:p></span></li>
</ol>
<ol start="4" type="1" style="margin-top: 0in">
<li style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: list .5in" class="MsoNormal">Real estate will look cheap to foreign investors.<span>  </span>(Prices are going up.</li>
</ol>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">If this scenario works out, then it might make sense to invest in rental properties in blue collar areas near new, efficient manufacturing plants that make export and high tech products.<span>  </span>Can we say <st1:state w:st="on">Ohio</st1:state> and <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Michigan</st1:place></st1:state>?<span>  </span>How about cities with 100,000 populations with new manufacturing plants?</p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">As oil prices come down, the OPEC countries might show some restraint with the arab terrorists with respect to bombing the consuming countries because it will reduce oil consumption even further.<span>  </span>(Who knows the minds of the crazies?)</p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region> might have some difficulty in handling a down turn in their economy.<span>  </span>Capitalistic societies are geared for the inevitable market cycles.<span>  </span>Communist, socialist and other controlled societies that play with capitalism always have difficulties in handling downturns.<span>  </span>The leaders never seem to experience any hardship while the peons go without.<span>  </span>That situation makes for unstable times.<span>  </span>As <st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region> struggles to develop a middle class to consume its production while exports to the <st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region> market slows, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region>’s growth will slow and possibly turn down.<span>  </span>Cashing out its <st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region> debt while the dollar is down would create further losses for the government and higher interest rates worldwide and in the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region>.</p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">The US dollar will strengthen once more as the <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region></st1:place> economy comes out of its down real estate cycle.</p>
<p>As Michael Farber (gold and hard money investor from Hong Kong) says, the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><u2:country-region u3:st="on"><u2:place u3:st="on">US</u2:place></u2:country-region></st1:place></st1:country-region> will be a bad market in which to invest, but it will be better than any other world market.<span style="font-family: Georgia"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">As the wars in the Middle East wind down and the <st1:country-region w:st="on">US</st1:country-region> economy is singing along, the Democratic messages of cutting and running in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Iraq</st1:place></st1:country-region> and more massive taxes (the Rangel/Clinton Tax Bill) might not look so good.<span>  </span>Of course, they will take credit for it all, anyway.<span>  </span>Go figure.</p>
<p><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">Meanwhile, save (make) cash and accumulate appreciating assets with a strong positive cash flow.</p>
<p style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal">&nbsp;</p>
<p></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font face="Times New Roman"><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=aeNqAOY4dNJE&amp;refer=news"><font face="Times New Roman">http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=aeNqAOY4dNJE&amp;refer=news</font></a><font face="Times New Roman"> </font></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman">By Bo Nielsen and Adriana Brasileiro</font></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font face="Times New Roman"> </font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="Times New Roman">Nov. 5 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Gisele Bundchen wants to remain the world&#8217;s richest model and is insisting that she be paid in almost any currency but the U.S. dollar. </font></p>
<p></font></span><font face="Times New Roman">Like billionaire investors Warren Buffett and Bill Gross, the Brazilian supermodel, who Forbes magazine says earns more than anyone in her industry, is at the top of a growing list of rich people who have concluded that the currency can only depreciate because Americans led by President George W. Bush are living beyond their means. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Even after the dollar lost 34 percent since 2001, the biggest investors and most accurate forecasters say it will weaken further as home sales fall and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The dollar plummeted to its lowest ever last week against the euro, Canadian dollar, Chinese yuan and the cheapest in 26 years against the British pound. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;We&#8217;ve told all of our clients that if you only had one idea, one investment, it would be to buy an investment in a non- dollar currency,&#8221; said Gross, the chief investment officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, and manager of the world&#8217;s biggest bond fund. &#8220;That should be on top of the list,&#8221; said Gross, whose firm is a unit of <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Munich-</st1:place></st1:city> based insurer Allianz SE. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The dollar fell as much as 0.9 percent last week to $1.4528, the weakest since the euro started trading in 1999. It lost 2.8 percent against the Canadian dollar to 93.47 cents and 1.8 percent versus the pound to $2.09. The Fed&#8217;s U.S. Trade Weighted Major Currency Index measuring the dollar&#8217;s performance versus seven currencies, such as <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Japan</st1:place></st1:country-region>&#8217;s, slid to a record low of 72.21. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Bundchen&#8217;s Demands </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">BNP Paribas chief currency strategist Hans-Guenter Redeker, the most accurate foreign-exchange forecaster last quarter in a Bloomberg survey, said the dollar may drop to $1.50 per euro by year-end. The median estimate of 42 strategists surveyed by Bloomberg is for the currency to end the year at $1.43. Among those surveyed last week, the forecast ranges from $1.42 to $1.50. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">When Bundchen, 27, signed a contract in August to represent Pantene hair products for Cincinnati-based Procter &amp; Gamble Co., she demanded payment in euros, according to <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Veja</st1:city>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Brazil</st1:country-region></st1:place>&#8217;s biggest weekly magazine. She&#8217;ll also get euros for the deal she reached last October with Dolce &amp; Gabbana SpA in <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Milan</st1:place></st1:city> to promote the Italian designer&#8217;s new fragrance, The One, Veja reported. Bundchen earned $33 million in the year through June, Forbes reported in July. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;Contracts starting now are more attractive in euros because we don&#8217;t know what will happen to the dollar,&#8221; Patricia Bundchen, the model&#8217;s twin sister and manager in <st1:country-region w:st="on">Brazil</st1:country-region>, said in a telephone interview in September from <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Sao Paulo</st1:place></st1:city>. She declined to discuss details of the arrangements last week, as did Anne Nelson, Bundchen&#8217;s agent in <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:state> at IMG Models. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Dollar Support </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Procter &amp; Gamble&#8217;s Sao Paulo-based external relations director for <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Brazil</st1:place></st1:country-region>, Andre Quadra, said he couldn&#8217;t give details of the Pantene contract because of a confidentiality agreement. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Analysts in a Bloomberg survey expect the dollar to strengthen in coming months as stronger-than-forecast reports suggest <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> consumers will keep the economy out of recession. Payrolls grew by 166,000 in October, double the median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg survey. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The dollar will rise to $1.43 per euro this year and $1.35 by the end of 2008, according to the median estimate in the survey. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;So far the data has shown the U.S. economy may not be slowing to the extent the majority of the market had expected,&#8221; said Omer Esiner, an analyst at currency-trading company Ruesch International Inc. in Washington who expects the U.S. currency to strengthen to as much as $1.38 per euro. &#8220;That could temper policy easing down the road and lend support for the dollar.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">`Moving to <st1:place w:st="on">Asia</st1:place>&#8216; </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Buffett, whom Forbes in April ranked as the world&#8217;s third- richest person behind Bill Gates and Carlos Slim, told reporters in <st1:country-region w:st="on">South Korea</st1:country-region> last month that he is bearish on the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> currency. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;We still are negative on the dollar relative to most major currencies, so we bought stocks in companies that earn their money in other currencies,&#8221; Buffett said Oct. 25. Buffett, 77, is chairman of Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire Hathaway Inc. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Jim Rogers, a former partner of investor George Soros, said last month he&#8217;s selling his house and all his possessions in the <st1:country-region w:st="on">U.S.</st1:country-region> currency to buy <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region>&#8217;s yuan. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;The dollar is collapsing,&#8221; <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Rogers</st1:place></st1:city> said last week in an interview. &#8220;I&#8217;m moving to Asia because moving to Asia now is like moving to <st1:state w:st="on">New York</st1:state> in 1907 or <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">London</st1:place></st1:city> in 1807. It&#8217;s the wave of the future.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Better Returns </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The dollar is falling as investors seek better returns outside the U.S. Developing Asian nations including China and India will grow 9.8 percent this year, compared with 1.9 percent for the U.S., the International Monetary Fund said last month. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman"><st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">India</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region> accounted for half the global expansion over the past year, and the euro region will expand 2.5 percent in 2007, outpacing the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> for the first time since 2001, the Washington-based IMF estimates. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;The world has learned to live with a weak dollar,&#8221; said Jay Bryson, a former Fed analyst who is now a global economist in Charlotte, North Carolina, at Wachovia Corp., the fourth-largest U.S. bank. &#8220;It&#8217;s not worried. it doesn&#8217;t rely on the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> as much as it once did.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Bryson forecasts the dollar will weaken to $1.50 per euro by the end of June. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> currency dropped in the past two months as the Fed cut its target rate for overnight loans between banks twice to keep a decline in home sales from starting a recession. The rate was reduced by three quarters of a percentage point to 4.5 percent, including a quarter-point last week. The National Association of Realtors trade group in <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Washington</st1:place></st1:state> said on Oct. 10 that existing home sales may fall 11 percent this year. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Housing Recession </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Lower rates have made yields on <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> debt less attractive. <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> two-year Treasuries yield 0.26 percentage point less than German government bonds of similar maturity. The last time Treasuries yielded less than bunds was 2004. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The weaker currency has cushioned the <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> economy during the worst housing recession in 16 years. Gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 3.9 percent in the third quarter, the most in more than a year, the Commerce Department said Oct. 31 in <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Washington</st1:place></st1:state>. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The five-year, 67 percent drop against the Canadian dollar has made it cheaper for fans from <st1:city w:st="on">Toronto</st1:city> to drive the 110 miles (177 kilometers) to <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:city w:st="on">Orchard Park</st1:city>, <st1:state w:st="on">New York</st1:state></st1:place>, to watch the Buffalo Bills play football. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Canada</st1:place></st1:country-region> Day </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Canadians account for 11 percent of the team&#8217;s season tickets this year, up from 6.5 percent in 2005, according to Scott Berchtold, the Bills&#8217; vice president of communications. At yesterday&#8217;s annual Canada Day game, a record 23 percent of the sellout crowd of 73,967 fans were from <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Canada</st1:place></st1:country-region>, he estimated. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;When the Canadian dollar was down around 65 cents, we didn&#8217;t get anybody,&#8221; Ralph Wilson Jr., the team&#8217;s owner, said in an interview. &#8220;When the dollar fell, we starting getting some people.&#8221; The Canadian dollar bought 61.76 U.S. cents in 2002. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The dollar&#8217;s drop also makes American goods cheaper abroad. <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> exports were a record $138.2 billion in August, government data show. Net exports added 0.93 percentage point to <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> gross domestic product last quarter, offsetting a 1.05 percentage point drag from housing, government data show. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;As long as the dollar&#8217;s decline doesn&#8217;t trigger inflation, it&#8217;s a good thing, helping the <st1:country-region w:st="on">U.S.</st1:country-region> economy to stay out of recession,&#8221; said Robert Mundell, a professor at <st1:placename w:st="on">Columbia</st1:placename> <st1:placetype w:st="on">University</st1:placetype> in <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:state> who won the Nobel Prize for economics in 1999. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Wealthy Clients </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The Commerce Department&#8217;s price index for personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy rose 1.8 percent in September from a year earlier, the same as in August. The Fed forecasts the index will increase 1.75 percent to 2 percent next year. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">Wealthy clients at San Francisco-based Union Bank of <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">California</st1:place></st1:state> have doubled their deposits in foreign currencies to $60 million the past two months as a hedge against a decline, said Bradley Shairson, head of currency and derivatives at the bank. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">U.S.</st1:place></st1:country-region> investors bought $198 billion in foreign securities this year through August, 72 percent more than in the same period last year, Treasury Department data show. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">That&#8217;s the same strategy as sovereign wealth funds run by the largest exporters and oil producers, including <st1:country-region w:st="on">China</st1:country-region>, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Singapore</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Qatar</st1:place></st1:country-region>, said Stephen Jen, head of currency research at New York-based Morgan Stanley. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">The funds may grow to $17.5 trillion by 2017 from $2.5 trillion now and shift more than $500 billion out of the dollar in the next three years in search of better returns, he said. </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">&#8220;We&#8217;re all thinking about diversifying out of the dollar,&#8221; said Jen, who is based in <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">London</st1:place></st1:city>. &#8220;It&#8217;s a very logical thing.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font face="Times New Roman">To contact the reporter on this story: Bo Nielsen in <st1:state w:st="on">New York</st1:state> at <span class="httplink"><a href="mailto:Bnielsen4@bloomberg.net">Bnielsen4@bloomberg.net</a></span> ; Adriana Brasileiro in <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Rio de Janeiro</st1:place></st1:city> at <span class="httplink"><a href="mailto:abrasileiro@bloomberg.net">abrasileiro@bloomberg.net</a></span> </font></p>
<p><em><font face="Times New Roman">Last Updated: November 5, 2007 00:41 EST<o:p></o:p></font></em></p>
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		<title>Attitudes of the Clintons about Economics</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=9</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 22:17:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[20071010 Economy Stiglitz in
Venezuela Pushes Public Private Balance (Update1)  
The last statement in this article kind of sums of the attitudes of the
Clintons about economics.  When their Chair of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisors endorses Hugo Chavezuelas seizing of the oil company assets (for the second time in 20 years), it suggests that they [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">20071010 Economy <span class="newsstorytitle">Stiglitz in</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region></place> Pushes Public Private Balance (Update1) </span></span></font><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </p>
<p></span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The last statement in this article kind of sums of the attitudes of the</p>
<place w:st="on"><city w:st="on">Clintons</city></place> about economics.  When their Chair of the U.S. Council of Economic Advisors endorses Hugo Chavezuelas seizing of the oil company assets (for the second time in 20 years), it suggests that they are really do lean toward Big Guvm’t in a Big Way.</span></font></span><font size="3" color="#ff0000" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: red">Stiglitz, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2001, chaired the U.S. Council of Economic Advisers under former U.S. President Bill Clinton. He is a professor at</p>
<place w:st="on">
<placename w:st="on">Columbia</placename>
<placetype w:st="on">University</placetype></place>. </span></font><font size="3" color="#ff0000" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: red">He said <country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region> has managed its oil boom better than</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Russia</country-region></place>. </span></font></p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on"><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">Venezuela</span></font></country-region></place><font color="#0000ff"><span style="color: blue"> is managing their oil boom by stealing the assets bought, developed and paid for by the oil companies.  What is</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region></place> going to do for oil field development and technology for the next twenty years?   They have huge oil deposits but they can not produce their heavy oil resources without extensive investment and develop of new technology.</span></font><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">Hugo Chavezuela is spending the capital that needs to be re-invested to develop future reserves.  </span></font><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">Look at <country-region w:st="on">Russia</country-region> (who didn’t steal their oil industry) and</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Iran</country-region></place> who did. </p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Russia</country-region></place> is still in business with the oil companies and continues to expand production (after many years of stagnation and waste). </p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Iran</country-region></place> is soon going to be a net oil importer.  They have squandered one of the best oil resources on the planet by mis-management, decrepit equipment and ancient technology.</span></font><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">You can steal assets.  You can buy some technology.  You can avoid re-investing.  You can drop production and make back some of the losses by raising prices.  But the honey pot does run out.  The high market prices do cycle down.  And pay backs are tough.</span></font><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">Time to develop clean coal burning technology, low cost solar and cheap fusion power.</span></font><font size="3" color="#0000ff" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: blue">And Energy CONSERVATION!</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&amp;sid=aqop3ptj2ktg&amp;refer=news">http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&amp;sid=aqop3ptj2ktg&amp;refer=news</a> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">By Matthew Walter</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Oct. 10 (Bloomberg) &#8212; Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel economics laureate visiting</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region></place>, said developing nations must strike a balance between public and private control of the economy. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">After meeting in the presidential palace with Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez, Stiglitz praised the South American country&#8217;s success at distributing its oil income among citizens. He urged the government to ensure its economic policies are leading to sustainable growth. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">&#8220;What&#8217;s fundamental is to have a balance in the role of the market and the government in the economy,&#8221; Stiglitz said at a forum on emerging markets sponsored by a local bank. &#8220;We have to realize it&#8217;s not just about setting interest rates, but also about supporting growth.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The Nobel Prize winner said</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region></place>&#8217;s economic growth in recent years has been &#8220;impressive.&#8221; Chavez, a critic of the <country-region w:st="on">U.S.</country-region> government and a self-described foe of capitalism, has cited Stiglitz in speeches this year warning about the</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">U.S.</country-region></place>&#8217;s &#8220;irresponsible&#8221; economic policies. </span></font><country-region w:st="on"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Venezuela</span></font></country-region>, the fourth-biggest supplier of crude oil to the</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">United States</country-region></place>, had an 8.9 percent economic growth rate in the second quarter, its fifteenth straight quarter of expansion. Increased consumer demand and government spending has pushed inflation to 15.3 percent, the highest in</p>
<place w:st="on">Latin America</place>. <font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Stiglitz said during his speech today that relatively high inflation isn&#8217;t necessarily harmful to economic growth, and that central-bank autonomy shouldn&#8217;t be &#8220;excessive.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Bank Autonomy </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Chavez plans to formally do away with the Venezuelan central bank&#8217;s independence later this year through a rewrite of the constitution. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Stiglitz praised <country-region w:st="on">China</country-region>&#8217;s and <country-region w:st="on">India</country-region>&#8217;s success in reducing poverty and maintaining economic growth, and criticized</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Brazil</country-region></place>&#8217;s high lending rates during his presentation. <font color="#ff0000"><span style="color: red">He said <country-region w:st="on">Venezuela</country-region> has managed its oil boom better than</p>
<place w:st="on"><country-region w:st="on">Russia</country-region></place>. </span></font></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The economist&#8217;s trip to Caracas follows a series of high- profile visits from U.S. citizens interested in the South American nation&#8217;s so-called &#8220;Bolivarian&#8221; socialist revolution. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Actors Kevin Spacey and Sean Penn visited</p>
<place w:st="on"><city w:st="on">Caracas</city></place> earlier this year and were received by President Chavez. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Actor Danny Glover is co-starring in a film sponsored by the Venezuelan government called &#8220;Miranda Regresa,&#8221; about the life of Latin American revolutionary hero Francisco de Miranda. The movie opens in</p>
<place w:st="on"><city w:st="on">Caracas</city></place> theaters Oct. 12. </span></font><font size="3" color="#ff0000" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: red">Stiglitz, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2001, chaired the U.S. Council of Economic Advisers under former U.S. President Bill Clinton. He is a professor at</p>
<place w:st="on">
<placename w:st="on">Columbia</placename>
<placetype w:st="on">University</placetype></place>. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">To contact the reporter on this story: Matthew Walter in</p>
<place w:st="on"><city w:st="on">Caracas</city></place> at <span class="httplink"><a href="mailto:mwalter4@bloomberg.net">mwalter4@bloomberg.net</a></span> </span></font><em><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-style: italic">Last Updated: October 10, 2007 19:05 EDT</span></font></em><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </p>
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		<title>Too Timid for Tax Increases</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=8</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 22:15:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[ 
Taxes:  Capital Gains Tax is Going UP!  It is just a matter of time. 
Do your Tax Planning now or pay more later…a lot more. 
They seem to think that any deduction, “tax break” or “tax loophole” is the government giving government money back to us.  That is not the case at all.  These people forget that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="Section1"><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial">Taxes:  Capital Gains Tax is Going UP!  It is just a matter of time.</span></font><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial">Do your Tax Planning now or pay more later…a lot more.</span></font><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: Arial">They seem to think that any deduction, “tax break” or “tax loophole” is the government giving government money back to us.  That is not the case at all.  These people forget that what we pay and don’t pay in taxes is originally our money, not the government’s money.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
<p></span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
<p></span></font><font size="2" color="#000000" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; text-transform: uppercase; color: black; font-family: Arial">Editorial</span></font><font size="6" color="#000000" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 22pt; color: black; font-family: Georgia">Too Timid for Tax Increases </span></font><font size="2" color="#808080" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 9.5pt; color: gray; font-family: Arial">Published: October 11, 2007</span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">Someday, Americans who earn millions upon millions of dollars each year will no longer pay taxes at a lower rate than the middle class and the merely affluent. Someday. But not this year, and with 2008 being an election year, probably not then either. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">The Washington Post reported this week that the Senate will not advance a proposal this year to raise taxes on private equity partners, the deal makers who have become multimillionaires and billionaires mainly via debt-driven buyouts of public companies. The partners pay a flat tax rate of 15 percent on most of their earnings, compared with rates as high as 35 percent for most everyone else — say, firefighters, nurses, doctors, teachers and soldiers. A spokesman for the Senate majority leader, Harry Reid, told The Post that time appeared to have run out to act this year and that, in any event, the issue needs more study. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">That decision has all the signs of a delaying tactic to avoid raising taxes on an industry that is a heavy campaign contributor. Mr. Reid controls the Senate calendar, so he could make time if he wanted. And several Congressional hearings have made it clear that there is no justification for private equity’s low tax rate. Its legality rests on outdated provisions of the tax code that should be changed. It is morally indefensible. And it is illogical from a tax perspective. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">The law rewards investors for taking risks with their money by allowing them to pay taxes on their profits at a special low rate of 15 percent. But private equity partners are, by and large, managing other people’s money. As money managers earning performance fees, they don’t deserve an investor’s low tax rate. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">To avoid looking craven, Congressional Democrats may move forward with a bill to raise taxes on publicly traded partnerships. They may also try to end a dubious practice whereby private equity partners convert the relatively small share of their pay that is taxed as ordinary income, at 35 percent, to investment profit taxable at 15 percent. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">These sorts of baby steps would be better than nothing, but they are not nearly enough. Fairness demands that the very richest among us should not enjoy a lower tax rate than most everyone else. Necessity demands that the <country-region w:st="on"></p>
<place w:st="on">United States</place></country-region> collect more tax revenue. The nation does not take in nearly enough for the spending to which it is already committed, let alone for what it needs to add, like health care, infrastructure repair, environmental protection and so on — nevermind paying the bill for President Bush’s war in Iraq. </span></font><font size="4" face="Georgia"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: Georgia">It does not bode well that today’s leaders can’t even see their way to raising the obviously too low taxes on private equity partners. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"> </p>
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		<title>US Economy Job Growth Accelerates in September</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=7</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 01:45:12 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[20071005 US Economy Job Growth Accelerates in September (Update4)  Initial reports on employment are like weather reports—they are so wrong so often, you wonder why anybody even listens to them. The bottom line:   The
US economy (outside of real estate) is doing better than we had hoped—and it’s getting better.
The Fed rate cut was the right amount [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">20071005 US Economy Job Growth Accelerates in September (Update4) </span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Initial reports on employment are like weather reports—they are so wrong so often, you wonder why anybody even listens to them.</span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></span></span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The bottom line:  </span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>US economy (outside of real estate) is doing better than we had hoped—and it’s getting better.</span></font></span></span></font></span></p>
<p></span></font></span><span class="newsstorytitle"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The Fed rate cut was the right amount at the right time.</span></font></span><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">There is still a lot of blood-letting necessary to deflate the real estate bubble.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Along those lines, I have reviewed several situations in which investors have bought large numbers of properties in previously “hot” markets.  Now they are desperate for help because their properties are vacant and underwater.  They owe more than the properties are currently worth—in some instances their potential net losses are more than they have taken out in borrowed “profits”.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Unfortunately, if they can’t sell it, rent for payments or afford the negative cash flow, the prices of their properties are in free fall.  How much can they pay to stop the pain?  And can we find someone else who can step up and make payments—even after a deep short sale?</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">We will find out…and so will thousands of investors and homeowners in similar situations as their property prices fall.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Ironically enough, property values are increasing daily, but who wants to hold onto properties that are falling 30-50% in price while they are still not cash flowing on a monthly basis?  </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">It is still not time to buy on value alone if prices are falling so much with more to come.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=a1eZDfCaMXto&amp;refer=home">http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=a1eZDfCaMXto&amp;refer=home</a> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">By Joe Richter</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=photos&amp;sid=a1eZDfCaMXto"><span style="text-decoration: none"><img border="0" width="95" src="cid:image002.gif@01C80791.B5CDB9B0" alt="Enlarge Image/Details" height="10" id="_x0000_i1026" class="photoenlarge" /></span></a></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Oct. 5 (Bloomberg) &#8211;</span></font></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"></p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. employment accelerated in September and revised figures for August showed an unexpected gain, easing recession concerns and making the Federal Reserve less likely to cut interest rates again. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Payrolls grew by 110,000 after an 89,000 increase in the previous month, the Labor Department said today in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>Washington. The change to the August figure wiped out what had been the first decline in four years, a drop that spurred predictions the six-year expansion would come to end amid the credit-market rout. </span></font></p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Treasury notes fell as traders speculated that the central bank, which reduced borrowing costs by half a point on Sept. 18, will resist lowering them at the next meeting. Analysts said more jobs and rising wages will help consumers weather falling home prices, sustaining the spending that accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">&#8220;It certainly doesn&#8217;t look like an economy that&#8217;s losing momentum,&#8221; said John Ryding, chief <country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. economist at Bear Stearns Cos. in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>New York. &#8220;The Fed will move to the sidelines or else it&#8217;ll become much more apparent that the Fed was cutting for financial stability reasons and not the real economy.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed 12 basis points to 4.64 percent at 4:28 p.m. in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>New York. Futures traders put the chances of a reduction in October at 48 percent, down from 72 percent yesterday, based on prices at the Chicago Board of Trade. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index hit an all-time high. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">`Nimble&#8217; Fed </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Speaking less than an hour after the figures were released, Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn said officials must be &#8220;nimble&#8221; in setting rates given the risks of both slower growth and faster inflation. Commodity prices had the biggest monthly gain in 32 years in September, with the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index advancing 8.1 percent. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Today&#8217;s report validates comments from Fed district bank presidents, who have consistently expressed skepticism about how much the economy has been hurt by the market turmoil of August. Richard Fisher, president of the Fed&#8217;s</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><city w:st="on"></city>Dallas branch, said yesterday that &#8220;things are healing.&#8221; St. Louis Fed President William Poole warned investors a week ago not to assume further rate cuts would be forthcoming. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The job number &#8220; eases fears that the economy will take a dramatic turn for the worse,&#8221; said Julia Coronado, senior <country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. economist at Barclays Capital Inc. in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>New York. &#8220;That makes the Fed&#8217;s decision a closer call. A rate cut in October is by no means a foregone conclusion.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Impact of Revisions </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Revisions added 118,000 workers to payroll numbers previously reported for July and August. The jobless rate rose to 4.7 percent from 4.6 percent the previous month. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">&#8220;Now we find out that not only did we not lose jobs, but we gained almost 90,000&#8221; in August, said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><city w:st="on"></city>Minneapolis. &#8220;This goes a long way to start putting the crisis in the rear-view mirror.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">President George W. Bush praised the jobs numbers, saying that the revisions add up to 49 consecutive months of employment growth, the &#8220;most on record for our country.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">In the six years since the last recession ended in November 2001, the economy has created 7.1 million jobs, compared with 12.5 million during the comparable period following the 1991 contraction. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Most of the August adjustment came in government payrolls, which expanded by 57,000 during the month, reflecting hiring of teachers for the new school year. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">School Holidays </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Changes in the timing of school holidays during the summer probably made it difficult for the department to count the number of teachers added for the new school year, economists said. Government payrolls further expanded by 37,000 in September, today&#8217;s report showed. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Employment at businesses rose by 73,000 in September after a 32,000 gain in August. Private payrolls increased 115,000 per month on average from January though July. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">&#8220;The labor market is bending, but not breaking,&#8221; said Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>New York. &#8220;You still have some pretty good wage growth, some pretty good income growth that should be good for consumer spending.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Service industries, which include banks, insurance companies, restaurants and retailers, added 143,000 workers last month after increasing 153,000 in August. Retailers shed 5,200 jobs after adding 8,700 in August. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Factories Lose Jobs </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Factory payrolls dropped by 18,000 after decreasing 45,000 a month earlier. Economists had forecast a drop of 10,000 in manufacturing employment. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Payrolls at builders declined by 14,000 after falling 22,000 a month earlier. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Lennar Corp., the biggest</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. homebuilder, has cut 35 percent of its workforce and will eliminate more, Stuart Miller, chief executive of the Miami-based company, said in a statement Sept. 25. Lennar last month reported the biggest quarterly loss in its 53-year history. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Firings at mortgage companies are also contributing to the slowdown in the labor market. Morgan Stanley, the second-biggest</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. securities firm, said this week it plans to cut 600 jobs after a decline in mortgage-related revenue led to lower third- quarter earnings than analysts estimated. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">&#8220;We may be headed for trouble as it is,&#8221; said Robert Dederick, president of RGD Economics in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><city w:st="on"></city>Hinsdale, <state w:st="on"></state>Illinois. &#8220;Remember, economists are saying there&#8217;s a 35 percent chance of a recession, which is about as far as they ever go until we&#8217;re actually in the recession.&#8221; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">`Act as Needed&#8217; </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The Fed on Sept. 18 cut its benchmark interest rate by a half-percentage point to 4.75 percent, and said they would &#8220;act as needed&#8221; to promote stable inflation and economic growth. </span></font></p>
<place w:st="on"></place><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Poole</span></font> said that while he sees &#8220;tentative signs&#8221; that credit-market turmoil is easing, &#8220;financial fragility is obviously still an issue.&#8221; <font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">So far, income gains have helped prevent a collapse in consumer spending, and some companies are still adding workers as they expand. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Wages gained 4.1 percent in September from a year earlier, the biggest increase since February. Workers&#8217; average hourly earnings rose 7 cents, or 0.4 percent, after a 0.3 percent increase the previous month. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Hours Worked </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Average weekly hours worked by production workers were unchanged at 33.8. Average weekly earnings rose to $593.87 last month from $591.50 the prior month. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Boeing Co., the second-largest</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. defense contractor, won a $1.1 billion award to maintain the Air Force&#8217;s fleet of more than 200 KC-135 midair refueling tankers. Maintenance will alternate between Tinker Air Force Base in <state w:st="on"></state>Oklahoma and Boeing facilities in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><city w:st="on"></city>San Antonio where 200 new employees will be hired. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">The payrolls report included the government&#8217;s preliminary estimate for annual benchmark revisions. The Labor Department said payrolls for the 12 months ended in March 2007 will probably be revised lower by 297,000, the biggest downward revision since 2002. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Currently, government figures show 1.94 million jobs were created during the 12 months ended March 2007. The final estimate will be issued in February. </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">To contact the reporter on this story: Joe Richter in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>Washington <span class="httplink"><a href="mailto:Jrichter1@bloomberg.net">Jrichter1@bloomberg.net</a></span> </span></font><em><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-style: italic">Last Updated: October 5, 2007 16:35 EDT</span></font></em><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"></span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"> </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"></span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"></span></font></span></font></p>
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		<title>CONVEYANCE OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ENCUMBERED BY LIEN</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=6</link>
		<comments>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=6#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 01:44:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=6</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While I&#8217;m in a legislative mood, here&#8217;s another one that has an impact on our ability to do subject to&#8217;s. It applies to transactions after 1-1-08.This law requires a notice to the buyer and the lenders when a property is sold with an underlying lien-most notably subject to transactions.
 It sets out the warning required and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">While I&#8217;m in a legislative mood, here&#8217;s another one that has an impact on our ability to do subject to&#8217;s. It applies to transactions after 1-1-08.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">This law requires a notice to the buyer and the lenders when a property is sold with an underlying lien-most notably subject to transactions.<br />
 It sets out the warning required and allows for a rescission of the contract if the warning isn&#8217;t provided.</p>
<p>Of most importance to you are exceptions that are probably most applicable to real estate investors.</p>
<p>First is the exception if the property is conveyed to someone who buys sell or otherwise conveys 4 or more properties in a year.</p>
<p>The one I see that is the best one is the one that exempts you from the disclosure if a title policy is ordered.  As many of you know, we have expanded our services by (soon) becoming a fee attorney for LandAmerica Lawyers Title.  This means that we are like a &#8216;branch office&#8217; of LandAmerica and can do real estate closings just like other offices of LandAmerica or other title companies. This has the added advantage of having YOUR attorney at the table and drafting documents that are in your favor, not someone else&#8217;s.  We offer evening closings for those that can&#8217;t get away during the day and offer lower fees for our clients than most other companies. We&#8217; ll send more info when it&#8217;s official.</p>
<p>Below is the act itself (it&#8217;s only 7 pages long).  Give me a call if you have any questions.</p>
<p>As always, we ask that you not forward this email to others as it is intended for our clients only and to give them a competitive advantage over others in the business.<font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">AN ACT</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">relating to the conveyance of certain residential real property encumbered by a lien.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">BE IT ENACTED BY THE LEGISLATURE OF THE STATE OF <state w:st="on"></state></p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state></state></p>
<place></place>TEXAS:</span></font></p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">SECTION 1.  Subchapter A, Chapter 5, Property Code, is amended by adding Sections 5.016 and 5.017 to read as follows:</span></font><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">Sec. 5.016.  CONVEYANCE OF RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ENCUMBERED BY LIEN.  (a)  A person may not convey an interest in or enter into a contract to convey an interest in residential real property that will be encumbered by a recorded lien at the time the interest is conveyed unless, on or before the seventh day before the earlier of the effective date of the conveyance or the execution of an executory contract binding the purchaser to purchase the property, an option contract, or other contract, the person provides the purchaser and each lienholder a separate written disclosure statement in at least 12-point type that:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(1)  identifies the property and includes the name, address, and phone number of each lienholder;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(2)  states the amount of the debt that is secured by each lien;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(3)  specifies the terms of any contract or law under which the debt that is secured by the lien was incurred, including, as applicable:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(A)  the rate of interest;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(B)  the periodic installments required to be paid; and</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(C)  the account number;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(4)  indicates whether the lienholder has consented to the transfer of the property to the purchaser;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(5)  specifies the details of any insurance policy relating to the property, including:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(A)  the name of the insurer and insured;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(B)  the amount for which the property is insured; and</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(C)  the property that is insured;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(6)  states the amount of any property taxes that are due on the property; and</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(7)  includes a statement at the top of the disclosure in a form substantially similar to the following:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">WARNING:  ONE OR MORE RECORDED LIENS HAVE BEEN FILED THAT MAKE A CLAIM AGAINST THIS PROPERTY AS LISTED BELOW.  IF A LIEN IS NOT RELEASED AND THE PROPERTY IS CONVEYED WITHOUT THE CONSENT OF THE LIENHOLDER, IT IS POSSIBLE THE LIENHOLDER COULD DEMAND FULL PAYMENT OF THE OUTSTANDING BALANCE OF THE LIEN IMMEDIATELY.  YOU MAY WISH TO CONTACT EACH LIENHOLDER FOR FURTHER INFORMATION AND DISCUSS THIS MATTER WITH AN ATTORNEY.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(b)  A violation of this section does not invalidate a conveyance.  Except as provided by Subsections (c) and (d), if a contract is entered into without the seller providing the notice required by this section, the purchaser may terminate the contract for any reason on or before the seventh day after the date the purchaser receives the notice in addition to other remedies provided by this section or other law.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(c)  This section does not apply to a transfer:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(1)  under a court order or foreclosure sale;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(2)  by a trustee in bankruptcy;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(3)  to a mortgagee by a mortgagor or successor in interest or to a beneficiary of a deed of trust by a trustor or successor in interest;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(4)  by a mortgagee or a beneficiary under a deed of trust who has acquired the real property at a sale conducted under a power of sale under a deed of trust or a sale under a court-ordered foreclosure or has acquired the real property by a deed in lieu of foreclosure;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(5)  by a fiduciary in the course of the administration of a decedent&#8217;s estate, guardianship, conservatorship, or trust;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(6)  from one co-owner to one or more other co-owners;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(7)  to a spouse or to a person or persons in the lineal line of consanguinity of one or more of the transferors;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(8)  between spouses resulting from a decree of dissolution of marriage or a decree of legal separation or from a property settlement agreement incidental to one of those decrees;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(9)  to or from a governmental entity;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; background: yellow; line-height: 200%">(10)  where the purchaser obtains a title insurance policy insuring the transfer of title to the real property;</span> or</font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(11)  to a person who has purchased, conveyed, or entered into contracts to purchase or convey an interest in real property four or more times in the preceding 12 months.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(d)  A violation of this section is not actionable if the person required to give notice reasonably believes and takes any necessary action to ensure that each lien for which notice was not provided will be released on or before the 30th day after the date on which title to the property is transferred.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">Sec. 5.017.  FEE FOR FUTURE CONVEYANCE OF RESIDENTIAL REAL PROPERTY AND RELATED LIEN PROHIBITED.  (a)  In this section, &#8220;property owners&#8217; association&#8221; has the meaning assigned by Section 209.002.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(b)  A deed restriction or other covenant running with the land applicable to the conveyance of residential real property that requires a transferee of residential real property or the transferee&#8217;s heirs, successors, or assigns to pay a declarant or other person imposing the deed restriction or covenant on the property or a third party designated by a transferor of the property a fee in connection with a future transfer of the property is prohibited.  A deed restriction or other covenant running with the land that violates this section or a lien purporting to encumber the land to secure a right under a deed restriction or other covenant running with the land that violates this section is void and unenforceable.  For purposes of this section, a conveyance of real property includes a conveyance or other transfer of an interest or estate in residential real property.</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(c)  This section does not apply to a deed restriction or other covenant running with the land that requires a fee associated with the conveyance of property in a subdivision that is payable to:</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(1)  a property owners&#8217; association that manages or regulates the subdivision or the association&#8217;s managing agent if the subdivision contains more than one platted lot;</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(2)  an entity organized under Section 501(c)(3), Internal Revenue Code of 1986; or</span></font></u><u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">(3)  a governmental entity.</span></font></u><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">SECTION 2.  The change in law made by this Act applies only to a transfer of property that occurs or a contract entered into on or after the effective date of this Act.  A transfer of property that occurs or a contract entered into before the effective date of this Act is governed by the law in effect immediately before the effective date of this Act, and that law is continued in effect for that purpose.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">SECTION 3.  This Act takes effect <date month="1" day="1" year="2008"></date>January 1, 2008.</span></font><font size="3" face="Courier New"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Courier New'"><br clear="all" style="page-break-before: always" /></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> <font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">______________________________  ______________________________</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">  President of the Senate           Speaker of the House      </span></font></p>
<p></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"></span></font></p>
<p><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">I certify that H.B. No. 2207 was passed by the House on May 11, 2007, by the following vote:  Yeas 135, Nays 2, 2 present, not voting; that the House refused to concur in Senate amendments to H.B. No. 2207 on May 25, 2007, and requested the appointment of a conference committee to consider the differences between the two houses; and that the House adopted the conference committee report on H.B. No. 2207 on May 27, 2007, by the following vote:  Yeas 144, Nays 0, 2 present, not voting.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">______________________________</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">Chief Clerk of the House   </span></font><font size="3" face="Courier New"><span style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Courier New'"><br clear="all" style="page-break-before: always" /></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">I certify that H.B. No. 2207 was passed by the Senate, with amendments, on May 23, 2007, by the following vote:  Yeas 31, Nays 0; at the request of the House, the Senate appointed a conference committee to consider the differences between the two houses; and that the Senate adopted the conference committee report on H.B. No. 2207 on May 26, 2007, by the following vote:  Yeas 30, Nays 0.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">______________________________</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">Secretary of the Senate   </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">APPROVED: __________________</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">                 Date       </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">          __________________</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 200%">               Governor       </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></p>
<p></span></font></p>
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		<title>Rehabber News</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=5</link>
		<comments>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=5#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 01:44:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=5</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[To all of my clients who are rehabbers:
You may have read the recent Sunday Express News article regarding the new standards that might affect your business as a rehabber.  While I thought the article was confusing and not very well written, I have had an opportunity to review the law that the article discussed, and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To all of my clients who are rehabbers:</p>
<p>You may have read the recent Sunday Express News article regarding the new standards that might affect your business as a rehabber.  While I thought the article was confusing and not very well written, I have had an opportunity to review the law that the article discussed, and there are some potential effects on our business as rehabbers. (the law is also confusing and not well written!) I have provided a link to the new legislation below, which should be read in conjunction with the law as it exists before September 1, 2007.</p>
<p>Below is a summary of the provisions most applicable to our efforts as rehabbers, but as with any legislation, my intent here is to make you aware that you need to explore this further.  Any summary I could give here would necessarily omit certain salient points that could change the effect of the law dramatically on any given situation or project.  So, please review the law itself with respect to your efforts and proposed projects.</p>
<p>The legislature, passed (almost unanimously) amendments to the Texas Residential Construction Commission Act, with the passage of HB 1038 (the bill is about 19 pages long and can be accessed at (copy and paste into your browser if the link doesn&#8217;t work):</p>
<p>www.capitol.state.tx.us/tlodocs/80R/billtext/html/HB01038F.htm</p>
<p>This is the act (title 16) that governs builders, their licensing, construction requirements, building c odes, dispute resolution, etc.  While most of the changes and modifications deal with the composition of the commission, penalties, and other more mechanical aspects of the law, there are a number of provisions that contrast with prior law. (the opinion of most &#8216;consumer groups&#8217; is that the legislature acted as a lackey for the builder&#8217;s industry because they focused mostly on the changes to the builders code).</p>
<p>Of most importance to rehabbers, is found in section 8 of the legislation, which adds a provision to section 401.005.  This section previously provided a broad exemption from title 16 (the Residential Construction Commission act).  Prior law exempted folks that built their own home and lived there a year before selling and also exempted homeowners who supervised, or arranged construction of improvements on a home they owned.  For most rehabbers, this provided the exemption from all of the provisions applicable to builders.</p>
<p>the new law adds a paragraph that, while not providing an exemption to title 16,  has the potential to pull rehabbers into the act.  it provides:  <strong><span style="font-weight: bold">An individual who builds a home or a material improvement to a home and sells the home immediately following completion of the building or remodeling and does not live in the home for at least one year following completion of the building or remodeling is responsible as a builder under the warranty obligation created by this title for work completed by the individual.  Responsibility under this subsection does not automatically require an individual to register under Section 416.001.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-weight: bold"> </span></strong>The first question is what is a material improvement to a home.   The legislation defines a &#8220;material Improvement&#8221; in section 6 of the legislation:  <strong><span style="font-weight: bold">&#8220;Material Improvement&#8221; means a modification to an existing home that either increases or decreases the home&#8217;s total square footage of living space that also modifies the home&#8217;s foundation, perimeter walls, or roof.  A material improvement does not include modifications to an existing home if the modifications are designed primarily to repair or replace the home&#8217;s component parts.&#8221;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-weight: bold">Thus if  you don&#8217;t change the square footage, the exterior walls aren&#8217;t moved, the foundation stays the same and you don&#8217;t change the roof, it&#8217;s not a material improvement.  Likewise , if all you are doing is replacing or repairing the component parts of the home, it also not a material improvement.  If you do any of these things, you need to provide the builders warranty and you are subject to being classified as a builder. </p>
<p></span></strong>If you are exempt from the title under the section above, you will need to provide a notice when you sell the property regarding the absence of certain warranties.  The notice is contained in section one of the new legislation.</p>
<p>The legislation also changed the definition of a builder in section 6 of the legislation (401.003 of the act) to add those persons who s<strong><span style="font-weight: bold">ell or contracts for the construction of or the supervision or management of the construction of </span></strong>a<em><span style="font-style: italic"> material improvement to a home </span></em>(other than replacing a roof) or an improvement to the interior of an existing home where the cost of the work exceeds $10,000.00 (prior law was $20,000.00).</p>
<p>The legislation also defines, for the first time, &#8220;<strong><span style="font-weight: bold">improvements to the interior of an existing home&#8221; [which] means any modification or installation of permanent fixtures inside the home.  An improvement to the interior of an existing home does not include improvements to an existing home if th improvements are designed primarily to rep[air or replace the home&#8217;s component parts. </span></strong>Thus changing existing faucets is OK; putting in a new sink where none existed before includes you in the definition.</p>
<p>Why is this important?? It&#8217;s important because if this applies, you are classified as a builder and builders need to register, take continuing education,operate to building code standards, provide warranties etc etc..</p>
<p>What&#8217;s it all mean??  It seems(and this is just my opinion) that rehabbers who do minor rehabs, carpet, paint, change fixtures, fans, etc will be able to operate as beofre.  Those rehabbers that change walls, add or subtract square footage, modify the roof, add additions, spend over $10 K, or make serious changes to a dwelling, will, at the very least, be required to provide the builder&#8217;s warranty (which can be provided by a separate warranty company- but not teh usual home warranty company mentioned in the TREC contract though).  In addition, doing the extensive rehabs will likely result in a classification as a builder, requiring registration and all that entails.</p>
<p>On a macro level, it will mean that less houses will be rehabbed by non-builders.  You can debate the policy implications of this all you want, but the effect is to require more regulation and (presumably) more competent licensed persons doing major rehabs.</p>
<p>Rehabbers need to be very careful with their projects and each project needs to be examined as to what is being done to determine if the warranties need to be given.  If you have any doubt, it&#8217;s best to get the opinion of an attorney as to whether the project will fall under the Act. </p>
<p>I hope this was helpful to your business.  Please give me a call if you have any questions about the new law or about any projects you start after September 1, 2007 that may fall under this new law. <font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></p>
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		<title>Real Estate FC:  Attorney General Charges Foreclosure Rescue Firm with</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=4</link>
		<comments>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=4#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 01:44:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Attorney General Abbott Charges Foreclosure Rescue Firm with Operating
Unlawful Scam
Court freezes assets of Foreclosure Assistance Solutions
HOUSTON - Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott today charged a business with
operating an unlawful foreclosure rescue scam that targeted struggling Texas
homeowners. As a result, the 408th District Court issued a temporary
restraining order and froze assets belonging to three businessmen who
organized [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Attorney General Abbott Charges Foreclosure Rescue Firm with Operating<br />
Unlawful Scam</p>
<p>Court freezes assets of Foreclosure Assistance Solutions</p>
<p>HOUSTON - Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott today charged a business with<br />
operating an unlawful foreclosure rescue scam that targeted struggling Texas<br />
homeowners. As a result, the 408th District Court issued a temporary<br />
restraining order and froze assets belonging to three businessmen who<br />
organized the scheme. According to court documents, the defendants<br />
fraudulently advertised that they could save homeowners from imminent<br />
foreclosures.</p>
<p>The defendants named in the petition are: Foreclosure Assistance Solutions,<br />
LLC of Florida, and its principal operators, Herb Zerden and Adolfo<br />
Quintero, as well as J.W.W. Services, Inc. of California and owner John<br />
Woodruff. Under the temporary restraining order, the defendants must stop<br />
falsely soliciting distressed homeowners immediately. Although the temporary<br />
restraining order only applies in Texas, homeowners nationwide are protected<br />
by the state&#8217;s asset freeze.</p>
<p>Media links</p>
<p> &lt;<a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/media/videos/play.php?image=091007fas&amp;id=245">http://www.oag.state.tx.us/media/videos/play.php?image=091007fas&amp;id=245</a>&gt;<br />
Click on image<br />
Video of Foreclosure Assistance Web site</p>
<p> &lt;<a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_sample.pdf">http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_sample.pdf</a>&gt;<br />
Sample of<br />
Deceptive Mailer</p>
<p> &lt;<a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/AG_Publications/txts/homebuying.shtml">http://www.oag.state.tx.us/AG_Publications/txts/homebuying.shtml</a>&gt;<br />
Brochure: Avoid Home Buying Scams</p>
<p> &lt;<a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_pop.pdf">http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_pop.pdf</a>&gt;<br />
Attorney General&#8217;s lawsuit against Foreclosure Assistance Solutions</p>
<p> &lt;<a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_tro.pdf">http://www.oag.state.tx.us/newspubs/releases/2007/091007fas_tro.pdf</a>&gt;<br />
Attorney General&#8217;s temporary restraining order against Foreclosure<br />
Assistance Solutions</p>
<p>&#8220;Foreclosure Assistance Solutions preyed upon vulnerable homeowners who fell<br />
behind on their mortgage payments,&#8221; said Attorney General Abbott. &#8220;Today&#8217;s<br />
restraining order and asset freeze should put an end to an unlawful scheme<br />
that attempts to profiteer from the mortgage crisis.&#8221;</p>
<p>Attorney General Abbott added: &#8220;Homeowners facing difficulty making their<br />
monthly mortgage payments should be wary of mortgage rescue scams. Schemes<br />
offering too-good-to-be-true solutions are usually just that. Texans who<br />
fall behind on their payments should contact their lender directly to work<br />
out a resolution.&#8221;</p>
<p>According to the Attorney General&#8217;s enforcement action, the defendants<br />
mailed cards and letters to homeowners whose mortgage payments were<br />
delinquent and thus facing foreclosure. Their correspondence with homeowners<br />
promised established relationships with mortgage companies and banks<br />
nationwide. As a result, they claimed, Foreclosure Assistance Solutions<br />
could stop the foreclosure process.</p>
<p>Homeowners who contacted Foreclosure Assistance Solutions were urged to sign<br />
a $1,200 contract immediately. Under the contract, Foreclosure Assistance<br />
Solutions strictly prohibited homeowners from contacting their lenders.<br />
After homeowners paid the fee, they rarely heard from the company&#8217;s<br />
representatives again. When homeowners repeatedly called the company for<br />
answers, they were ignored. As a result, many homeowners still lost their<br />
homes to foreclosure.</p>
<p>Today&#8217;s action prohibits the defendants from making false representations to<br />
homeowners. Specifically, the company is prohibited from claiming that a<br />
home is at risk without providing proof of that risk. The court also ordered<br />
the defendants to stop offering assistance to homeowners without describing<br />
the alleged assistance.</p>
<p>The Office of the Attorney General&#8217;s petition states that Foreclosure<br />
Assistance Solutions deposited over $13 million in Bank of America accounts<br />
between 2005 and 2006. Most of those funds came from homeowners who faced<br />
foreclosure. That account and others are subject to today&#8217;s asset freeze.</p>
<p>The Attorney General seeks court-ordered restitution for homeowners who were<br />
harmed by the defendants&#8217; acts, as well as civil penalties of up to $20,000<br />
per violation of the Texas Deceptive Trade Practices Act. Additionally, the<br />
Attorney General requests up to $5,000 per violation for the defendants&#8217;<br />
failure to register the business as one that conducts telephone<br />
solicitations.</p>
<p>The Office of the Attorney General is engaged in a variety of efforts<br />
involving residential mortgages. Last week, Attorney General Abbott launched<br />
the Texas Residential Mortgage Fraud Task Force, a partnership that involves<br />
key state regulatory agencies. The task force, established by House Bill<br />
716, is required &#8220;to take a proactive stance towards tracking and<br />
prosecuting mortgage fraud and the perpetrators of mortgage fraud<br />
statewide.&#8221;</p>
<p>Earlier this year, Attorney General Abbott secured $21 million in<br />
restitution for Texas homeowners who were harmed by lending giant Ameriquest<br />
Mortgage Co. That case resolved allegations that the company and its<br />
affiliates did not clearly disclose certain terms to homeowners, including<br />
unpredictable adjustable rates.</p>
<p>Homeowners who believe they have been harmed by this or similar fraudulent<br />
businesses may call the Office of the Attorney General&#8217;s toll-free complaint<br />
line at (800) 252-8011 or file a complaint online at <a href="http://www.oag.state.tx.us/">www.oag.state.tx.us</a>.</p>
<p>-30-</p>
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		<title>Economy Greenspan Recession Risk Up OR NOT</title>
		<link>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=3</link>
		<comments>http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=3#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2007 01:43:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://bobdeschnerblog.com/?p=3</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[20070917 Economy Greenspan Recession Risk Up OR NOT It is easier to always be right when you state both choices at the same time. 
Here is a video that reports that Greenspan says that US is not headed toward a recession.  http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=289004&#38;cl=4127451&#38;src=finance&#38;ch=1316259  Here is an article about an interview on his new book where he is saying [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">20070917 Economy Greenspan Recession Risk Up OR NOT</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">It is easier to always be right when you state both choices at the same time.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></p>
<p></span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Here is a video that reports that Greenspan says that US is not headed toward a recession.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><a href="http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=289004&amp;cl=4127451&amp;src=finance&amp;ch=1316259">http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=289004&amp;cl=4127451&amp;src=finance&amp;ch=1316259</a> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt">Here is an article about an interview on his new book where he is saying that the danger of recession is increasing.</span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070917/bs_nm/usa_greenspan_dc;_ylt=AsWY9elPeJXzBrd9OIVtCRKb.HQA">http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070917/bs_nm/usa_greenspan_dc;_ylt=AsWY9elPeJXzBrd9OIVtCRKb.HQA</a> </span></font><font size="3" face="Times New Roman"><span style="font-size: 12pt"> </span></font></p>
<p></span></font></p>
<p style="border-right: medium none; padding-right: 0in; border-top: medium none; padding-left: 0in; padding-bottom: 6pt; border-left: medium none; padding-top: 0in; border-bottom: #cccccc 1pt solid"><strong><font size="4" face="Arial"><span style="font-weight: bold; font-size: 15pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan: Recession risk up </span></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="1" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 9pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">By Mark Felsenthal <font color="#999999"><span style="color: #999999">Mon Sep 17, 4:46 PM ET</span></font></span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial"> </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Former Federal Reserve chief Alan Greenspan said on Monday there is an increased risk of a recession but cautioned that the Fed must still be on guard for a rise in inflation. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;Earlier in the year, I was talking about a one-third probability of a recession,&#8221; Greenspan told Reuters. &#8220;It&#8217;s come up somewhat, but it&#8217;s still at this stage somewhat less than 50 (percent).&#8221;</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">He said the possibility of a large drop in house prices poses the biggest risk. A mild decline in home prices accompanied by a big pullback in construction that would help clear inventories would put the economy &#8220;in fairly good shape,&#8221; Greenspan said.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;But if the whole thing festers, it will erode household balance sheets and eventually impact on what the critical support has been in this economy: consumer expenditures,&#8221; he said.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">The former Fed chairman spoke with Reuters and numerous other media outlets to publicize the release of his memoir, &#8220;The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a</p>
<place w:st="on"></place>New World.&#8221;</span></font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">The book, for which Greenspan was reportedly paid an $8 million advance, hit store shelves on Monday. It was the No. 1 seller on Web retailer <a href="http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/nm/bs_nm/storytext/usa_greenspan_dc/24491848/SIG=10junn564/*http:/Amazon.com"><font color="#003399"><span style="color: #003399; text-decoration: none">Amazon.com</span></font></a>. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">GLOBALIZATION TURNS</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Its release comes as the spotlight turns to Ben Bernanke, the former</p>
<place w:st="on"></place>
<placename w:st="on"></placename>Princeton</p>
<placetype w:st="on"></placetype>University professor who succeeded Greenspan on February 1, 2006, and who now faces the biggest test of his tenure.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">The Bernanke-led Fed &#8212; which has been criticized by some on Wall Street for a slow response as housing-related credit market stress mounted in August &#8212; is widely expected to lower interest rates on Tuesday to protect the economy.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan said the Fed&#8217;s decision-making comes against a more complicated backdrop than he faced as chairman when rapid globalization was keeping inflation in check, allowing the central bank to cut interest rates aggressively when the</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>U.S. economy stumbled in 2001.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;Disinflation is probably close to its peak now, and obviously as disinflation eases, inflation of necessity is picking up,&#8221; he said. &#8220;I don&#8217;t expect an inflation surge. I just think we&#8217;re bottoming out on the disinflationary pressures.&#8221;</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;It&#8217;s going to make monetary policy a lot more difficult than it was during most of the time when I was chairman.&#8221;</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan told Dutch newspaper NRC Handelsblad that inflation could rise to about 5 percent in Europe and the</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><country-region w:st="on"></country-region>United States over time.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;The normal inflation level is closer to 5 percent than the current 2 percent,&#8221; he said, adding that a 5 percent level fitted economies with a &#8220;paper&#8221; currency not linked to gold.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan said in the course of book-related interviews that he doubts he would be reacting differently in the current environment than Bernanke has.</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;I&#8217;m not sure I would have done anything different were I there,&#8221; he told CBS television&#8217;s &#8220;60 Minutes&#8221; program on Sunday. &#8220;I think he&#8217;s doing an excellent job.&#8221; </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">THE MAESTRO TAKES THE STAGE</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">The reappearance in the public eye of the former central bank chair &#8212; who was lauded as a &#8220;Maestro&#8221; and a member of a select &#8220;Committee to Save the World&#8221; in books and magazines during his time at the Fed &#8212; comes as some reassess his legacy in light of the housing slump. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Critics charge that the Fed&#8217;s decision to slash interest rates to a decades-low 1 percent and to hold them there for a year pumped up a housing bubble whose bursting has placed the economy at risk of recession. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">But Greenspan defended the long period of low rates as necessary to fend off the possibility of a deflationary spiral &#8212; in which falling prices foster further economic weakness. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;In 2003 &#8230; we thought that the probability of a significant corrosive deflation was definitely less than 50-50, but consequences, were that minority problem to arise, were so potentially destabilizing that we took out in essence an insurance&#8221; policy, he told Reuters. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan told cable news network CNBC that the Fed tried to raise mortgage rates in 2004 to temper a housing boom but was unsuccessful. Indeed, long-term rates set by markets actually moved lower in the early stages of a Fed tightening cycle that began in mid-2004. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">Greenspan also challenged another criticism leveled at him: the perception that he endorsed the very adjustable rate mortgages that have led to mounting foreclosures as interest rates have risen and home loans have reset at higher rates. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">The former Fed chair says he was saying that borrowers with good credit might save money with an adjustable rate if they were confident they would move before the mortgage reset. </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">&#8220;I was discussing a very narrow set of circumstances,&#8221; he told Reuters &#8220;Indeed, the times I&#8217;ve taken out mortgages, I&#8217;ve taken out a fixed rate mortgage, because I think the insurance that you get, while the price may be high, is worth it.&#8221; </span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; line-height: 121%; font-family: Arial">(Additional reporting by Steven C. Johnson in</p>
<place w:st="on"></place><state w:st="on"></state>New York)</span></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"> <font size="2" face="Arial"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial"></span></font></p>
<p></span></font></p>
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